As La Niña ends and a new El Nino develops, there’s a 98% likelihood that the world will experience new record temperatures in the next five years with temperatures likely to rise by more than 1.5C above pre-industrial levels. The highest global average in previous years was 1.28C above pre-industrial levels. There’s likely to be less rainfall this year in the Amazon, Central America, Australia and Indonesia. It is particularly bad news for the Amazon, where a vicious cycle of heating and deforestation could tip the region from rainforest into savannah-like conditions. This November, governments will meet for the Cop28 UN climate summit and assess progress towards meeting the Paris agreement goals. This assessment is likely to show the world is far off track to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by the 43% this decade that’s required to have a good chance of limiting temperature rises to 1.5C.
www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/may/17/global-heating-climate-crisis-record-temperatures-wmo-research